Flight OddsAA4651 ROC → DCA
American Airlines · Rochester, NY to Washington, DC · 32 flights observed, 2026-01-06 to 2026-02-11 · 296 mi
AA4651 covers more than one route in the data window — the stats below are for ROC → DCA, the one it has flown most recently. The others are linked under “Other routes”.
On-time arrival
50%
Median delay
+15 min
90th percentile
+119 min
Cancellation rate
9%
How often is AA4651 on time?
Across 32 flights on ROC → DCA from 2026-01-06 to 2026-02-11, AA4651 arrived within 15 minutes of schedule 50% of the time. The median arrival delay was +15 min, and the worst 10% of flights arrived +119 min or later. 9% of flights were cancelled.
Delay distribution
Arrival delay for completed flights (excludes cancellations and diversions).
| Arrival | Flights | Share |
|---|---|---|
| Early / on-time | 14 | 50% |
| 16-30 min | 1 | 4% |
| 31-60 min | 6 | 21% |
| 61-120 min | 4 | 14% |
| 2+ hrs | 3 | 11% |
Performance by month
| Month | Flights | On-time | Avg delay |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01 | 18 | 56% | +31 min |
| 2026-02 | 10 | 40% | +54 min |
Performance by day of week
| Day | Flights | On-time |
|---|---|---|
| Mon | 4 | 25% |
| Tue | 5 | 80% |
| Wed | 6 | 50% |
| Thu | 4 | 50% |
| Fri | 5 | 40% |
| Sat | No data | — |
| Sun | 4 | 50% |
Other routes
Related
Based on US Department of Transportation Bureau of Transportation Statistics on-time data. Loading live conditions and full charts…