Flight OddsAA4651 ORD → MEM
American Airlines · Chicago, IL to Memphis, TN · 44 flights observed, 2025-09-03 to 2026-01-05 · 491 mi
AA4651 covers more than one route in the data window — the stats below are for ORD → MEM, the one it has flown most recently. The others are linked under “Other routes”.
On-time arrival
84%
Median delay
-11 min
90th percentile
+27 min
Cancellation rate
2%
How often is AA4651 on time?
Across 44 flights on ORD → MEM from 2025-09-03 to 2026-01-05, AA4651 arrived within 15 minutes of schedule 84% of the time. The median arrival delay was -11 min, and the worst 10% of flights arrived +27 min or later. 2% of flights were cancelled.
Delay distribution
Arrival delay for completed flights (excludes cancellations and diversions).
| Arrival | Flights | Share |
|---|---|---|
| Early / on-time | 36 | 84% |
| 16-30 min | 3 | 7% |
| 31-60 min | 0 | 0% |
| 61-120 min | 3 | 7% |
| 2+ hrs | 1 | 2% |
Performance by month
| Month | Flights | On-time | Avg delay |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-09 | 26 | 88% | -7 min |
| 2025-10 | 5 | 100% | -6 min |
| 2025-12 | 7 | 43% | +59 min |
| 2026-01 | 5 | 100% | -24 min |
Performance by day of week
| Day | Flights | On-time |
|---|---|---|
| Mon | 6 | 83% |
| Tue | 5 | 80% |
| Wed | 6 | 67% |
| Thu | 6 | 100% |
| Fri | 7 | 100% |
| Sat | 6 | 83% |
| Sun | 7 | 71% |
Other routes
Related
Based on US Department of Transportation Bureau of Transportation Statistics on-time data. Loading live conditions and full charts…