Flight OddsAA4651 MEM → ORD
American Airlines · Memphis, TN to Chicago, IL · 32 flights observed, 2025-09-03 to 2025-10-05 · 491 mi
AA4651 covers more than one route in the data window — the stats below are for MEM → ORD, the one it has flown most recently. The others are linked under “Other routes”.
On-time arrival
78%
Median delay
-7 min
90th percentile
+25 min
Cancellation rate
0%
How often is AA4651 on time?
Across 32 flights on MEM → ORD from 2025-09-03 to 2025-10-05, AA4651 arrived within 15 minutes of schedule 78% of the time. The median arrival delay was -7 min, and the worst 10% of flights arrived +25 min or later. 0% of flights were cancelled.
Delay distribution
Arrival delay for completed flights (excludes cancellations and diversions).
| Arrival | Flights | Share |
|---|---|---|
| Early / on-time | 25 | 78% |
| 16-30 min | 4 | 13% |
| 31-60 min | 2 | 6% |
| 61-120 min | 1 | 3% |
| 2+ hrs | 0 | 0% |
Performance by month
| Month | Flights | On-time | Avg delay |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-09 | 27 | 74% | +1 min |
| 2025-10 | 5 | 100% | -8 min |
Performance by day of week
| Day | Flights | On-time |
|---|---|---|
| Mon | 4 | 100% |
| Tue | 4 | 75% |
| Wed | 5 | 60% |
| Thu | 5 | 100% |
| Fri | 5 | 80% |
| Sat | 4 | 75% |
| Sun | 5 | 60% |
Other routes
Related
Based on US Department of Transportation Bureau of Transportation Statistics on-time data. Loading live conditions and full charts…