Flight OddsAA3953 ORD → MSN
American Airlines · Chicago, IL to Madison, WI · 133 flights observed, 2025-07-03 to 2026-04-06 · 108 mi
AA3953 covers more than one route in the data window — the stats below are for ORD → MSN, the one it has flown most recently. The others are linked under “Other routes”.
On-time arrival
73%
Median delay
+2 min
90th percentile
+56 min
Cancellation rate
7%
How often is AA3953 on time?
Across 133 flights on ORD → MSN from 2025-07-03 to 2026-04-06, AA3953 arrived within 15 minutes of schedule 73% of the time. The median arrival delay was +2 min, and the worst 10% of flights arrived +56 min or later. 7% of flights were cancelled.
Delay distribution
Arrival delay for completed flights (excludes cancellations and diversions).
| Arrival | Flights | Share |
|---|---|---|
| Early / on-time | 90 | 73% |
| 16-30 min | 8 | 6% |
| 31-60 min | 14 | 11% |
| 61-120 min | 12 | 10% |
| 2+ hrs | 0 | 0% |
Performance by month
| Month | Flights | On-time | Avg delay |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-07 | 26 | 69% | +17 min |
| 2025-08 | 29 | 79% | +7 min |
| 2025-09 | 2 | 100% | -3 min |
| 2025-10 | 22 | 59% | +21 min |
| 2026-02 | 17 | 76% | +7 min |
| 2026-03 | 25 | 72% | +4 min |
| 2026-04 | 3 | 100% | -4 min |
Performance by day of week
| Day | Flights | On-time |
|---|---|---|
| Mon | 20 | 70% |
| Tue | 19 | 68% |
| Wed | 17 | 76% |
| Thu | 18 | 83% |
| Fri | 17 | 71% |
| Sat | 14 | 93% |
| Sun | 19 | 53% |
Other routes
Related
Based on US Department of Transportation Bureau of Transportation Statistics on-time data. Loading live conditions and full charts…