Flight OddsAA3953 MSN → ORD
American Airlines · Madison, WI to Chicago, IL · 111 flights observed, 2025-07-03 to 2026-04-06 · 108 mi
AA3953 covers more than one route in the data window — the stats below are for MSN → ORD, the one it has flown most recently. The others are linked under “Other routes”.
On-time arrival
76%
Median delay
0 min
90th percentile
+53 min
Cancellation rate
10%
How often is AA3953 on time?
Across 111 flights on MSN → ORD from 2025-07-03 to 2026-04-06, AA3953 arrived within 15 minutes of schedule 76% of the time. The median arrival delay was 0 min, and the worst 10% of flights arrived +53 min or later. 10% of flights were cancelled.
Delay distribution
Arrival delay for completed flights (excludes cancellations and diversions).
| Arrival | Flights | Share |
|---|---|---|
| Early / on-time | 76 | 76% |
| 16-30 min | 7 | 7% |
| 31-60 min | 10 | 10% |
| 61-120 min | 5 | 5% |
| 2+ hrs | 2 | 2% |
Performance by month
| Month | Flights | On-time | Avg delay |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-07 | 26 | 73% | +22 min |
| 2025-08 | 29 | 79% | +8 min |
| 2025-09 | 2 | 100% | -9 min |
| 2026-02 | 17 | 71% | +4 min |
| 2026-03 | 23 | 78% | +2 min |
| 2026-04 | 3 | 67% | +1 min |
Performance by day of week
| Day | Flights | On-time |
|---|---|---|
| Mon | 16 | 56% |
| Tue | 14 | 79% |
| Wed | 14 | 79% |
| Thu | 14 | 93% |
| Fri | 14 | 64% |
| Sat | 12 | 92% |
| Sun | 16 | 75% |
Other routes
Related
Based on US Department of Transportation Bureau of Transportation Statistics on-time data. Loading live conditions and full charts…