Flight OddsAmerican Airlines · Raleigh/Durham, NC to Philadelphia, PA · 91 flights observed, 2025-07-01 to 2025-10-05 · 337 mi
AA2851 covers more than one route in the data window — the stats below are for RDU → PHL, the one it has flown most recently. The others are linked under “Other routes”.
How often is AA2851 on time?
Across 91 flights on RDU → PHL from 2025-07-01 to 2025-10-05, AA2851 arrived within 15 minutes of schedule 45% of the time. The median arrival delay was +25 min, and the worst 10% of flights arrived +163 min or later. 3% of flights were cancelled.
Delay distribution
Arrival delay for completed flights (excludes cancellations and diversions).
| Arrival | Flights | Share |
|---|---|---|
| Early / on-time | 40 | 45% |
| 16-30 min | 8 | 9% |
| 31-60 min | 20 | 23% |
| 61-120 min | 8 | 9% |
| 2+ hrs | 12 | 14% |
Performance by month
| Month | Flights | On-time | Avg delay |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-07 | 24 | 21% | +122 min |
| 2025-08 | 29 | 38% | +56 min |
| 2025-09 | 30 | 63% | +11 min |
| 2025-10 | 5 | 100% | -12 min |
Performance by day of week
| Day | Flights | On-time |
|---|---|---|
| Mon | 13 | 54% |
| Tue | 13 | 77% |
| Wed | 14 | 50% |
| Thu | 13 | 23% |
| Fri | 13 | 38% |
| Sat | 9 | 44% |
| Sun | 13 | 31% |
Other routes
Related
Based on US Department of Transportation Bureau of Transportation Statistics on-time data. Loading live conditions and full charts…