Flight OddsAA2851 MCO → MIA
American Airlines · Orlando, FL to Miami, FL · 43 flights observed, 2025-12-18 to 2026-03-07 · 192 mi
AA2851 covers more than one route in the data window — the stats below are for MCO → MIA, the one it has flown most recently. The others are linked under “Other routes”.
On-time arrival
70%
Median delay
-3 min
90th percentile
+40 min
Cancellation rate
0%
How often is AA2851 on time?
Across 43 flights on MCO → MIA from 2025-12-18 to 2026-03-07, AA2851 arrived within 15 minutes of schedule 70% of the time. The median arrival delay was -3 min, and the worst 10% of flights arrived +40 min or later. 0% of flights were cancelled.
Delay distribution
Arrival delay for completed flights (excludes cancellations and diversions).
| Arrival | Flights | Share |
|---|---|---|
| Early / on-time | 30 | 70% |
| 16-30 min | 7 | 16% |
| 31-60 min | 3 | 7% |
| 61-120 min | 1 | 2% |
| 2+ hrs | 2 | 5% |
Performance by month
| Month | Flights | On-time | Avg delay |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12 | 14 | 86% | -5 min |
| 2026-01 | 5 | 80% | -1 min |
| 2026-02 | 17 | 65% | +19 min |
| 2026-03 | 7 | 43% | +35 min |
Performance by day of week
| Day | Flights | On-time |
|---|---|---|
| Mon | 6 | 83% |
| Tue | 5 | 60% |
| Wed | 5 | 80% |
| Thu | 7 | 86% |
| Fri | 7 | 71% |
| Sat | 7 | 57% |
| Sun | 6 | 50% |
Other routes
Related
Based on US Department of Transportation Bureau of Transportation Statistics on-time data. Loading live conditions and full charts…