Flight OddsUA3653 SDF → ORD
United Airlines · Louisville, KY to Chicago, IL · 303 flights observed, 2025-07-01 to 2026-04-29 · 286 mi
On-time arrival
84%
Median delay
-4 min
90th percentile
+25 min
Cancellation rate
2%
How often is UA3653 on time?
Across 303 flights on SDF → ORD from 2025-07-01 to 2026-04-29, UA3653 arrived within 15 minutes of schedule 84% of the time. The median arrival delay was -4 min, and the worst 10% of flights arrived +25 min or later. 2% of flights were cancelled.
Delay distribution
Arrival delay for completed flights (excludes cancellations and diversions).
| Arrival | Flights | Share |
|---|---|---|
| Early / on-time | 248 | 84% |
| 16-30 min | 23 | 8% |
| 31-60 min | 9 | 3% |
| 61-120 min | 8 | 3% |
| 2+ hrs | 9 | 3% |
Performance by month
| Month | Flights | On-time | Avg delay |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-07 | 30 | 77% | +7 min |
| 2025-08 | 30 | 93% | -3 min |
| 2025-09 | 30 | 93% | -3 min |
| 2025-10 | 31 | 90% | +0 min |
| 2025-11 | 27 | 85% | -1 min |
| 2025-12 | 31 | 81% | +23 min |
| 2026-01 | 30 | 77% | +9 min |
| 2026-02 | 28 | 82% | 0 min |
| 2026-03 | 31 | 71% | +27 min |
| 2026-04 | 29 | 86% | +5 min |
Performance by day of week
| Day | Flights | On-time |
|---|---|---|
| Mon | 42 | 81% |
| Tue | 43 | 84% |
| Wed | 42 | 86% |
| Thu | 43 | 86% |
| Fri | 43 | 77% |
| Sat | 42 | 90% |
| Sun | 42 | 81% |
Related
Based on US Department of Transportation Bureau of Transportation Statistics on-time data. Loading live conditions and full charts…