Flight OddsAS451 MSY → SEA
Alaska Airlines · New Orleans, LA to Seattle, WA · 314 flights observed, 2025-07-01 to 2026-06-30 · 2,086 mi
On-time arrival
71%
Median delay
+1 min
90th percentile
+40 min
Cancellation rate
0%
How often is AS451 on time?
Across 314 flights on MSY → SEA from 2025-07-01 to 2026-06-30, AS451 arrived within 15 minutes of schedule 71% of the time. The median arrival delay was +1 min, and the worst 10% of flights arrived +40 min or later. 0% of flights were cancelled.
Delay distribution
Arrival delay for completed flights (excludes cancellations and diversions).
| Arrival | Flights | Share |
|---|---|---|
| Early / on-time | 223 | 71% |
| 16-30 min | 42 | 13% |
| 31-60 min | 32 | 10% |
| 61-120 min | 11 | 4% |
| 2+ hrs | 4 | 1% |
Performance by month
| Month | Flights | On-time | Avg delay |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-07 | 31 | 71% | +16 min |
| 2025-08 | 28 | 61% | +13 min |
| 2025-09 | 21 | 86% | -3 min |
| 2025-10 | 30 | 67% | +3 min |
| 2025-11 | 30 | 73% | -5 min |
| 2025-12 | 31 | 74% | +10 min |
| 2026-01 | 6 | 67% | +16 min |
| 2026-02 | 17 | 65% | +10 min |
| 2026-03 | 28 | 54% | +14 min |
| 2026-04 | 30 | 93% | -1 min |
| 2026-05 | 31 | 77% | -1 min |
| 2026-06 | 29 | 66% | +37 min |
Performance by day of week
| Day | Flights | On-time |
|---|---|---|
| Mon | 47 | 66% |
| Tue | 42 | 79% |
| Wed | 38 | 68% |
| Thu | 46 | 72% |
| Fri | 46 | 74% |
| Sat | 46 | 70% |
| Sun | 47 | 72% |
Related
Based on US Department of Transportation Bureau of Transportation Statistics on-time data. Loading live conditions and full charts…