Flight OddsAS407 ORD → SEA
Alaska Airlines · Chicago, IL to Seattle, WA · 358 flights observed, 2025-07-01 to 2026-06-30 · 1,721 mi
On-time arrival
69%
Median delay
+4 min
90th percentile
+47 min
Cancellation rate
1%
How often is AS407 on time?
Across 358 flights on ORD → SEA from 2025-07-01 to 2026-06-30, AS407 arrived within 15 minutes of schedule 69% of the time. The median arrival delay was +4 min, and the worst 10% of flights arrived +47 min or later. 1% of flights were cancelled.
Delay distribution
Arrival delay for completed flights (excludes cancellations and diversions).
| Arrival | Flights | Share |
|---|---|---|
| Early / on-time | 244 | 69% |
| 16-30 min | 38 | 11% |
| 31-60 min | 41 | 12% |
| 61-120 min | 15 | 4% |
| 2+ hrs | 15 | 4% |
Performance by month
| Month | Flights | On-time | Avg delay |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-07 | 31 | 65% | +9 min |
| 2025-08 | 31 | 68% | +10 min |
| 2025-09 | 29 | 86% | 0 min |
| 2025-10 | 29 | 48% | +22 min |
| 2025-11 | 24 | 58% | +27 min |
| 2025-12 | 30 | 63% | +20 min |
| 2026-01 | 30 | 70% | +24 min |
| 2026-02 | 28 | 93% | -7 min |
| 2026-03 | 30 | 57% | +43 min |
| 2026-04 | 30 | 80% | +3 min |
| 2026-05 | 31 | 81% | +5 min |
| 2026-06 | 30 | 60% | +26 min |
Performance by day of week
| Day | Flights | On-time |
|---|---|---|
| Mon | 50 | 74% |
| Tue | 53 | 66% |
| Wed | 52 | 65% |
| Thu | 50 | 76% |
| Fri | 51 | 61% |
| Sat | 50 | 74% |
| Sun | 47 | 68% |
Related
Based on US Department of Transportation Bureau of Transportation Statistics on-time data. Loading live conditions and full charts…