Flight OddsAS404 SEA → FAT
Alaska Airlines · Seattle, WA to Fresno, CA · 188 flights observed, 2025-10-26 to 2026-05-12 · 748 mi
AS404 covers more than one route in the data window — the stats below are for SEA → FAT, the one it has flown most recently. The others are linked under “Other routes”.
On-time arrival
85%
Median delay
-7 min
90th percentile
+28 min
Cancellation rate
1%
How often is AS404 on time?
Across 188 flights on SEA → FAT from 2025-10-26 to 2026-05-12, AS404 arrived within 15 minutes of schedule 85% of the time. The median arrival delay was -7 min, and the worst 10% of flights arrived +28 min or later. 1% of flights were cancelled.
Delay distribution
Arrival delay for completed flights (excludes cancellations and diversions).
| Arrival | Flights | Share |
|---|---|---|
| Early / on-time | 159 | 85% |
| 16-30 min | 10 | 5% |
| 31-60 min | 10 | 5% |
| 61-120 min | 4 | 2% |
| 2+ hrs | 4 | 2% |
Performance by month
| Month | Flights | On-time | Avg delay |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10 | 6 | 100% | -16 min |
| 2025-11 | 29 | 93% | -1 min |
| 2025-12 | 31 | 77% | +2 min |
| 2026-01 | 27 | 74% | +6 min |
| 2026-02 | 24 | 83% | +11 min |
| 2026-03 | 28 | 93% | -2 min |
| 2026-04 | 30 | 87% | -6 min |
| 2026-05 | 12 | 83% | +11 min |
Performance by day of week
| Day | Flights | On-time |
|---|---|---|
| Mon | 29 | 76% |
| Tue | 29 | 90% |
| Wed | 28 | 82% |
| Thu | 27 | 81% |
| Fri | 27 | 93% |
| Sat | 18 | 89% |
| Sun | 29 | 86% |
Other routes
Related
Based on US Department of Transportation Bureau of Transportation Statistics on-time data. Loading live conditions and full charts…