Flight OddsAS386 SEA → MSP
Alaska Airlines · Seattle, WA to Minneapolis, MN · 305 flights observed, 2025-07-01 to 2026-06-09 · 1,399 mi
On-time arrival
79%
Median delay
-8 min
90th percentile
+33 min
Cancellation rate
1%
How often is AS386 on time?
Across 305 flights on SEA → MSP from 2025-07-01 to 2026-06-09, AS386 arrived within 15 minutes of schedule 79% of the time. The median arrival delay was -8 min, and the worst 10% of flights arrived +33 min or later. 1% of flights were cancelled.
Delay distribution
Arrival delay for completed flights (excludes cancellations and diversions).
| Arrival | Flights | Share |
|---|---|---|
| Early / on-time | 238 | 79% |
| 16-30 min | 27 | 9% |
| 31-60 min | 23 | 8% |
| 61-120 min | 9 | 3% |
| 2+ hrs | 4 | 1% |
Performance by month
| Month | Flights | On-time | Avg delay |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-07 | 30 | 57% | +20 min |
| 2025-08 | 29 | 55% | +10 min |
| 2025-09 | 26 | 81% | +7 min |
| 2025-10 | 19 | 84% | -5 min |
| 2025-11 | 28 | 82% | -7 min |
| 2025-12 | 31 | 84% | -3 min |
| 2026-01 | 20 | 95% | -10 min |
| 2026-02 | 23 | 78% | -6 min |
| 2026-03 | 29 | 79% | -3 min |
| 2026-04 | 30 | 93% | -4 min |
| 2026-05 | 28 | 86% | -3 min |
| 2026-06 | 8 | 88% | -1 min |
Performance by day of week
| Day | Flights | On-time |
|---|---|---|
| Mon | 49 | 78% |
| Tue | 42 | 83% |
| Wed | 40 | 88% |
| Thu | 46 | 80% |
| Fri | 46 | 78% |
| Sat | 29 | 76% |
| Sun | 49 | 71% |
Related
Based on US Department of Transportation Bureau of Transportation Statistics on-time data. Loading live conditions and full charts…