Flight OddsAS15 DCA → SAN
Alaska Airlines · Washington, DC to San Diego, CA · 364 flights observed, 2025-07-01 to 2026-06-30 · 2,276 mi
On-time arrival
70%
Median delay
+4 min
90th percentile
+48 min
Cancellation rate
2%
How often is AS15 on time?
Across 364 flights on DCA → SAN from 2025-07-01 to 2026-06-30, AS15 arrived within 15 minutes of schedule 70% of the time. The median arrival delay was +4 min, and the worst 10% of flights arrived +48 min or later. 2% of flights were cancelled.
Delay distribution
Arrival delay for completed flights (excludes cancellations and diversions).
| Arrival | Flights | Share |
|---|---|---|
| Early / on-time | 249 | 70% |
| 16-30 min | 53 | 15% |
| 31-60 min | 29 | 8% |
| 61-120 min | 16 | 5% |
| 2+ hrs | 8 | 2% |
Performance by month
| Month | Flights | On-time | Avg delay |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-07 | 31 | 71% | +12 min |
| 2025-08 | 30 | 67% | +6 min |
| 2025-09 | 29 | 59% | +19 min |
| 2025-10 | 31 | 58% | +13 min |
| 2025-11 | 26 | 77% | +2 min |
| 2025-12 | 31 | 68% | +19 min |
| 2026-01 | 28 | 71% | +29 min |
| 2026-02 | 28 | 46% | +23 min |
| 2026-03 | 31 | 77% | +8 min |
| 2026-04 | 29 | 79% | +4 min |
| 2026-05 | 31 | 81% | -5 min |
| 2026-06 | 30 | 87% | +3 min |
Performance by day of week
| Day | Flights | On-time |
|---|---|---|
| Mon | 51 | 78% |
| Tue | 53 | 72% |
| Wed | 51 | 69% |
| Thu | 51 | 67% |
| Fri | 47 | 66% |
| Sat | 51 | 69% |
| Sun | 51 | 71% |
Related
Based on US Department of Transportation Bureau of Transportation Statistics on-time data. Loading live conditions and full charts…