Flight OddsAS1470 ORD → SAN
Alaska Airlines · Chicago, IL to San Diego, CA · 247 flights observed, 2025-10-26 to 2026-06-30 · 1,723 mi
On-time arrival
73%
Median delay
-2 min
90th percentile
+46 min
Cancellation rate
1%
How often is AS1470 on time?
Across 247 flights on ORD → SAN from 2025-10-26 to 2026-06-30, AS1470 arrived within 15 minutes of schedule 73% of the time. The median arrival delay was -2 min, and the worst 10% of flights arrived +46 min or later. 1% of flights were cancelled.
Delay distribution
Arrival delay for completed flights (excludes cancellations and diversions).
| Arrival | Flights | Share |
|---|---|---|
| Early / on-time | 178 | 73% |
| 16-30 min | 30 | 12% |
| 31-60 min | 16 | 7% |
| 61-120 min | 11 | 5% |
| 2+ hrs | 9 | 4% |
Performance by month
| Month | Flights | On-time | Avg delay |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10 | 6 | 67% | -1 min |
| 2025-11 | 29 | 41% | +32 min |
| 2025-12 | 29 | 55% | +31 min |
| 2026-01 | 31 | 68% | +11 min |
| 2026-02 | 28 | 89% | -6 min |
| 2026-03 | 31 | 77% | +6 min |
| 2026-04 | 30 | 87% | +3 min |
| 2026-05 | 30 | 80% | -3 min |
| 2026-06 | 30 | 87% | -9 min |
Performance by day of week
| Day | Flights | On-time |
|---|---|---|
| Mon | 36 | 72% |
| Tue | 36 | 75% |
| Wed | 33 | 70% |
| Thu | 35 | 83% |
| Fri | 35 | 60% |
| Sat | 34 | 82% |
| Sun | 35 | 69% |
Related
Based on US Department of Transportation Bureau of Transportation Statistics on-time data. Loading live conditions and full charts…