Flight OddsAS1447 ORD → SAN
Alaska Airlines · Chicago, IL to San Diego, CA · 238 flights observed, 2025-10-26 to 2026-06-30 · 1,723 mi
On-time arrival
70%
Median delay
-5 min
90th percentile
+61 min
Cancellation rate
2%
How often is AS1447 on time?
Across 238 flights on ORD → SAN from 2025-10-26 to 2026-06-30, AS1447 arrived within 15 minutes of schedule 70% of the time. The median arrival delay was -5 min, and the worst 10% of flights arrived +61 min or later. 2% of flights were cancelled.
Delay distribution
Arrival delay for completed flights (excludes cancellations and diversions).
| Arrival | Flights | Share |
|---|---|---|
| Early / on-time | 164 | 70% |
| 16-30 min | 25 | 11% |
| 31-60 min | 20 | 9% |
| 61-120 min | 13 | 6% |
| 2+ hrs | 12 | 5% |
Performance by month
| Month | Flights | On-time | Avg delay |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10 | 6 | 67% | +36 min |
| 2025-11 | 29 | 45% | +52 min |
| 2025-12 | 29 | 59% | +26 min |
| 2026-01 | 31 | 74% | +3 min |
| 2026-02 | 28 | 89% | -12 min |
| 2026-03 | 29 | 79% | +4 min |
| 2026-04 | 29 | 72% | +1 min |
| 2026-05 | 27 | 85% | -6 min |
| 2026-06 | 26 | 58% | +28 min |
Performance by day of week
| Day | Flights | On-time |
|---|---|---|
| Mon | 36 | 69% |
| Tue | 36 | 83% |
| Wed | 33 | 61% |
| Thu | 33 | 64% |
| Fri | 35 | 57% |
| Sat | 31 | 87% |
| Sun | 30 | 70% |
Related
Based on US Department of Transportation Bureau of Transportation Statistics on-time data. Loading live conditions and full charts…