Flight OddsAA864 ORD → PVD
American Airlines · Chicago, IL to Providence, RI · 37 flights observed, 2026-01-06 to 2026-02-11 · 849 mi
AA864 covers more than one route in the data window — the stats below are for ORD → PVD, the one it has flown most recently. The others are linked under “Other routes”.
On-time arrival
46%
Median delay
+16 min
90th percentile
+82 min
Cancellation rate
5%
How often is AA864 on time?
Across 37 flights on ORD → PVD from 2026-01-06 to 2026-02-11, AA864 arrived within 15 minutes of schedule 46% of the time. The median arrival delay was +16 min, and the worst 10% of flights arrived +82 min or later. 5% of flights were cancelled.
Delay distribution
Arrival delay for completed flights (excludes cancellations and diversions).
| Arrival | Flights | Share |
|---|---|---|
| Early / on-time | 16 | 46% |
| 16-30 min | 6 | 17% |
| 31-60 min | 8 | 23% |
| 61-120 min | 2 | 6% |
| 2+ hrs | 3 | 9% |
Performance by month
| Month | Flights | On-time | Avg delay |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01 | 24 | 50% | +55 min |
| 2026-02 | 11 | 36% | +19 min |
Performance by day of week
| Day | Flights | On-time |
|---|---|---|
| Mon | 4 | 50% |
| Tue | 6 | 67% |
| Wed | 6 | 50% |
| Thu | 5 | 60% |
| Fri | 5 | 20% |
| Sat | 5 | 40% |
| Sun | 4 | 25% |
Other routes
Related
Based on US Department of Transportation Bureau of Transportation Statistics on-time data. Loading live conditions and full charts…