Flight OddsAA6438 ORD → ROC
American Airlines · Chicago, IL to Rochester, NY · 41 flights observed, 2026-05-21 to 2026-06-30 · 528 mi
AA6438 covers more than one route in the data window — the stats below are for ORD → ROC, the one it has flown most recently. The others are linked under “Other routes”.
On-time arrival
56%
Median delay
+11 min
90th percentile
+128 min
Cancellation rate
12%
How often is AA6438 on time?
Across 41 flights on ORD → ROC from 2026-05-21 to 2026-06-30, AA6438 arrived within 15 minutes of schedule 56% of the time. The median arrival delay was +11 min, and the worst 10% of flights arrived +128 min or later. 12% of flights were cancelled.
Delay distribution
Arrival delay for completed flights (excludes cancellations and diversions).
| Arrival | Flights | Share |
|---|---|---|
| Early / on-time | 20 | 56% |
| 16-30 min | 4 | 11% |
| 31-60 min | 4 | 11% |
| 61-120 min | 3 | 8% |
| 2+ hrs | 5 | 14% |
Performance by month
| Month | Flights | On-time | Avg delay |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05 | 10 | 70% | +16 min |
| 2026-06 | 26 | 50% | +39 min |
Performance by day of week
| Day | Flights | On-time |
|---|---|---|
| Mon | 5 | 80% |
| Tue | 6 | 33% |
| Wed | 3 | 67% |
| Thu | 5 | 80% |
| Fri | 6 | 50% |
| Sat | 6 | 67% |
| Sun | 5 | 20% |
Other routes
Related
Based on US Department of Transportation Bureau of Transportation Statistics on-time data. Loading live conditions and full charts…