Flight OddsAA5651 MSN → ORD
American Airlines · Madison, WI to Chicago, IL · 45 flights observed, 2025-11-02 to 2025-12-17 · 108 mi
AA5651 covers more than one route in the data window — the stats below are for MSN → ORD, the one it has flown most recently. The others are linked under “Other routes”.
On-time arrival
45%
Median delay
+23 min
90th percentile
+196 min
Cancellation rate
16%
How often is AA5651 on time?
Across 45 flights on MSN → ORD from 2025-11-02 to 2025-12-17, AA5651 arrived within 15 minutes of schedule 45% of the time. The median arrival delay was +23 min, and the worst 10% of flights arrived +196 min or later. 16% of flights were cancelled.
Delay distribution
Arrival delay for completed flights (excludes cancellations and diversions).
| Arrival | Flights | Share |
|---|---|---|
| Early / on-time | 17 | 45% |
| 16-30 min | 3 | 8% |
| 31-60 min | 3 | 8% |
| 61-120 min | 5 | 13% |
| 2+ hrs | 10 | 26% |
Performance by month
| Month | Flights | On-time | Avg delay |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11 | 24 | 58% | +93 min |
| 2025-12 | 14 | 21% | +83 min |
Performance by day of week
| Day | Flights | On-time |
|---|---|---|
| Mon | 5 | 60% |
| Tue | 7 | 43% |
| Wed | 6 | 33% |
| Thu | 5 | 20% |
| Fri | 5 | 40% |
| Sat | 5 | 60% |
| Sun | 5 | 60% |
Other routes
Related
Based on US Department of Transportation Bureau of Transportation Statistics on-time data. Loading live conditions and full charts…