Flight OddsAA5221 MSN → DCA
American Airlines · Madison, WI to Washington, DC · 200 flights observed, 2025-07-05 to 2026-04-06 · 707 mi
AA5221 covers more than one route in the data window — the stats below are for MSN → DCA, the one it has flown most recently. The others are linked under “Other routes”.
On-time arrival
72%
Median delay
-6 min
90th percentile
+95 min
Cancellation rate
6%
How often is AA5221 on time?
Across 200 flights on MSN → DCA from 2025-07-05 to 2026-04-06, AA5221 arrived within 15 minutes of schedule 72% of the time. The median arrival delay was -6 min, and the worst 10% of flights arrived +95 min or later. 6% of flights were cancelled.
Delay distribution
Arrival delay for completed flights (excludes cancellations and diversions).
| Arrival | Flights | Share |
|---|---|---|
| Early / on-time | 135 | 72% |
| 16-30 min | 11 | 6% |
| 31-60 min | 17 | 9% |
| 61-120 min | 14 | 7% |
| 2+ hrs | 10 | 5% |
Performance by month
| Month | Flights | On-time | Avg delay |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-07 | 1 | 100% | -33 min |
| 2025-08 | 25 | 80% | -2 min |
| 2025-09 | 26 | 88% | -1 min |
| 2025-10 | 26 | 77% | +6 min |
| 2025-11 | 22 | 55% | +29 min |
| 2025-12 | 28 | 79% | +5 min |
| 2026-01 | 23 | 65% | +26 min |
| 2026-02 | 10 | 70% | +13 min |
| 2026-03 | 20 | 65% | +39 min |
| 2026-04 | 6 | 33% | +91 min |
Performance by day of week
| Day | Flights | On-time |
|---|---|---|
| Mon | 30 | 63% |
| Tue | 29 | 79% |
| Wed | 31 | 65% |
| Thu | 29 | 72% |
| Fri | 26 | 73% |
| Sat | 13 | 85% |
| Sun | 29 | 76% |
Other routes
Related
Based on US Department of Transportation Bureau of Transportation Statistics on-time data. Loading live conditions and full charts…