Flight OddsAA4953 ORD → MSN
American Airlines · Chicago, IL to Madison, WI · 26 flights observed, 2026-03-08 to 2026-04-06 · 108 mi
AA4953 covers more than one route in the data window — the stats below are for ORD → MSN, the one it has flown most recently. The others are linked under “Other routes”.
On-time arrival
48%
Median delay
+18 min
90th percentile
+141 min
Cancellation rate
19%
How often is AA4953 on time?
Across 26 flights on ORD → MSN from 2026-03-08 to 2026-04-06, AA4953 arrived within 15 minutes of schedule 48% of the time. The median arrival delay was +18 min, and the worst 10% of flights arrived +141 min or later. 19% of flights were cancelled.
Delay distribution
Arrival delay for completed flights (excludes cancellations and diversions).
| Arrival | Flights | Share |
|---|---|---|
| Early / on-time | 10 | 48% |
| 16-30 min | 4 | 19% |
| 31-60 min | 1 | 5% |
| 61-120 min | 3 | 14% |
| 2+ hrs | 3 | 14% |
Performance by month
| Month | Flights | On-time | Avg delay |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03 | 18 | 50% | +36 min |
| 2026-04 | 3 | 33% | +232 min |
Performance by day of week
| Day | Flights | On-time |
|---|---|---|
| Mon | 5 | 60% |
| Tue | 3 | 67% |
| Wed | 4 | 25% |
| Thu | 2 | 50% |
| Fri | 3 | 33% |
| Sat | No data | — |
| Sun | 4 | 50% |
Other routes
Related
Based on US Department of Transportation Bureau of Transportation Statistics on-time data. Loading live conditions and full charts…