Flight OddsAA4951 RST → ORD
American Airlines · Rochester, MN to Chicago, IL · 30 flights observed, 2025-11-02 to 2025-12-02 · 268 mi
AA4951 covers more than one route in the data window — the stats below are for RST → ORD, the one it has flown most recently. The others are linked under “Other routes”.
On-time arrival
50%
Median delay
+17 min
90th percentile
+105 min
Cancellation rate
13%
How often is AA4951 on time?
Across 30 flights on RST → ORD from 2025-11-02 to 2025-12-02, AA4951 arrived within 15 minutes of schedule 50% of the time. The median arrival delay was +17 min, and the worst 10% of flights arrived +105 min or later. 13% of flights were cancelled.
Delay distribution
Arrival delay for completed flights (excludes cancellations and diversions).
| Arrival | Flights | Share |
|---|---|---|
| Early / on-time | 13 | 50% |
| 16-30 min | 0 | 0% |
| 31-60 min | 8 | 31% |
| 61-120 min | 3 | 12% |
| 2+ hrs | 2 | 8% |
Performance by month
| Month | Flights | On-time | Avg delay |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11 | 24 | 54% | +18 min |
| 2025-12 | 2 | 0% | +125 min |
Performance by day of week
| Day | Flights | On-time |
|---|---|---|
| Mon | 4 | 50% |
| Tue | 5 | 60% |
| Wed | 4 | 75% |
| Thu | 3 | 33% |
| Fri | 4 | 0% |
| Sat | 3 | 67% |
| Sun | 3 | 67% |
Other routes
Related
Based on US Department of Transportation Bureau of Transportation Statistics on-time data. Loading live conditions and full charts…