Flight OddsAA4945 MSN → ORD
American Airlines · Madison, WI to Chicago, IL · 39 flights observed, 2026-04-08 to 2026-05-20 · 108 mi
AA4945 covers more than one route in the data window — the stats below are for MSN → ORD, the one it has flown most recently. The others are linked under “Other routes”.
On-time arrival
74%
Median delay
-4 min
90th percentile
+146 min
Cancellation rate
0%
How often is AA4945 on time?
Across 39 flights on MSN → ORD from 2026-04-08 to 2026-05-20, AA4945 arrived within 15 minutes of schedule 74% of the time. The median arrival delay was -4 min, and the worst 10% of flights arrived +146 min or later. 0% of flights were cancelled.
Delay distribution
Arrival delay for completed flights (excludes cancellations and diversions).
| Arrival | Flights | Share |
|---|---|---|
| Early / on-time | 29 | 74% |
| 16-30 min | 0 | 0% |
| 31-60 min | 1 | 3% |
| 61-120 min | 4 | 10% |
| 2+ hrs | 5 | 13% |
Performance by month
| Month | Flights | On-time | Avg delay |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04 | 20 | 65% | +47 min |
| 2026-05 | 19 | 84% | +14 min |
Performance by day of week
| Day | Flights | On-time |
|---|---|---|
| Mon | 6 | 33% |
| Tue | 2 | 50% |
| Wed | 7 | 86% |
| Thu | 6 | 50% |
| Fri | 6 | 100% |
| Sat | 6 | 100% |
| Sun | 6 | 83% |
Other routes
Related
Based on US Department of Transportation Bureau of Transportation Statistics on-time data. Loading live conditions and full charts…