Flight OddsAA4912 ORD → MSN
American Airlines · Chicago, IL to Madison, WI · 36 flights observed, 2026-01-06 to 2026-02-10 · 108 mi
AA4912 covers more than one route in the data window — the stats below are for ORD → MSN, the one it has flown most recently. The others are linked under “Other routes”.
On-time arrival
44%
Median delay
+28 min
90th percentile
+128 min
Cancellation rate
6%
How often is AA4912 on time?
Across 36 flights on ORD → MSN from 2026-01-06 to 2026-02-10, AA4912 arrived within 15 minutes of schedule 44% of the time. The median arrival delay was +28 min, and the worst 10% of flights arrived +128 min or later. 6% of flights were cancelled.
Delay distribution
Arrival delay for completed flights (excludes cancellations and diversions).
| Arrival | Flights | Share |
|---|---|---|
| Early / on-time | 15 | 44% |
| 16-30 min | 3 | 9% |
| 31-60 min | 5 | 15% |
| 61-120 min | 7 | 21% |
| 2+ hrs | 4 | 12% |
Performance by month
| Month | Flights | On-time | Avg delay |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01 | 24 | 38% | +86 min |
| 2026-02 | 10 | 60% | +26 min |
Performance by day of week
| Day | Flights | On-time |
|---|---|---|
| Mon | 4 | 25% |
| Tue | 6 | 50% |
| Wed | 5 | 40% |
| Thu | 5 | 40% |
| Fri | 4 | 50% |
| Sat | 5 | 40% |
| Sun | 5 | 60% |
Other routes
Related
Based on US Department of Transportation Bureau of Transportation Statistics on-time data. Loading live conditions and full charts…