Flight OddsAA4650 MSN → DCA
American Airlines · Madison, WI to Washington, DC · 25 flights observed, 2025-07-01 to 2025-08-05 · 707 mi
AA4650 covers more than one route in the data window — the stats below are for MSN → DCA, the one it has flown most recently. The others are linked under “Other routes”.
On-time arrival
91%
Median delay
-15 min
90th percentile
+4 min
Cancellation rate
8%
How often is AA4650 on time?
Across 25 flights on MSN → DCA from 2025-07-01 to 2025-08-05, AA4650 arrived within 15 minutes of schedule 91% of the time. The median arrival delay was -15 min, and the worst 10% of flights arrived +4 min or later. 8% of flights were cancelled.
Delay distribution
Arrival delay for completed flights (excludes cancellations and diversions).
| Arrival | Flights | Share |
|---|---|---|
| Early / on-time | 21 | 91% |
| 16-30 min | 0 | 0% |
| 31-60 min | 1 | 4% |
| 61-120 min | 0 | 0% |
| 2+ hrs | 1 | 4% |
Performance by month
| Month | Flights | On-time | Avg delay |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-07 | 21 | 95% | -6 min |
| 2025-08 | 2 | 50% | +28 min |
Performance by day of week
| Day | Flights | On-time |
|---|---|---|
| Mon | 3 | 67% |
| Tue | 6 | 100% |
| Wed | 5 | 80% |
| Thu | 5 | 100% |
| Fri | 4 | 100% |
| Sat | No data | — |
| Sun | No data | — |
Other routes
Related
Based on US Department of Transportation Bureau of Transportation Statistics on-time data. Loading live conditions and full charts…