Flight OddsAA4516 ORD → MSP
American Airlines · Chicago, IL to Minneapolis, MN · 24 flights observed, 2025-08-06 to 2025-09-02 · 334 mi
AA4516 covers more than one route in the data window — the stats below are for ORD → MSP, the one it has flown most recently. The others are linked under “Other routes”.
On-time arrival
65%
Median delay
+10 min
90th percentile
+169 min
Cancellation rate
4%
How often is AA4516 on time?
Across 24 flights on ORD → MSP from 2025-08-06 to 2025-09-02, AA4516 arrived within 15 minutes of schedule 65% of the time. The median arrival delay was +10 min, and the worst 10% of flights arrived +169 min or later. 4% of flights were cancelled.
Delay distribution
Arrival delay for completed flights (excludes cancellations and diversions).
| Arrival | Flights | Share |
|---|---|---|
| Early / on-time | 15 | 65% |
| 16-30 min | 1 | 4% |
| 31-60 min | 1 | 4% |
| 61-120 min | 1 | 4% |
| 2+ hrs | 5 | 22% |
Performance by month
| Month | Flights | On-time | Avg delay |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-08 | 21 | 62% | +63 min |
| 2025-09 | 2 | 100% | -5 min |
Performance by day of week
| Day | Flights | On-time |
|---|---|---|
| Mon | 3 | 67% |
| Tue | 4 | 75% |
| Wed | 4 | 100% |
| Thu | 4 | 50% |
| Fri | No data | — |
| Sat | 4 | 75% |
| Sun | 4 | 25% |
Other routes
Related
Based on US Department of Transportation Bureau of Transportation Statistics on-time data. Loading live conditions and full charts…