Flight OddsAA4451 RIC → LGA
American Airlines · Richmond, VA to New York, NY · 306 flights observed, 2025-07-01 to 2026-06-30 · 291 mi
AA4451 covers more than one route in the data window — the stats below are for RIC → LGA, the one it has flown most recently. The others are linked under “Other routes”.
On-time arrival
84%
Median delay
-9 min
90th percentile
+42 min
Cancellation rate
3%
How often is AA4451 on time?
Across 306 flights on RIC → LGA from 2025-07-01 to 2026-06-30, AA4451 arrived within 15 minutes of schedule 84% of the time. The median arrival delay was -9 min, and the worst 10% of flights arrived +42 min or later. 3% of flights were cancelled.
Delay distribution
Arrival delay for completed flights (excludes cancellations and diversions).
| Arrival | Flights | Share |
|---|---|---|
| Early / on-time | 249 | 84% |
| 16-30 min | 12 | 4% |
| 31-60 min | 15 | 5% |
| 61-120 min | 9 | 3% |
| 2+ hrs | 11 | 4% |
Performance by month
| Month | Flights | On-time | Avg delay |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-07 | 27 | 78% | +15 min |
| 2025-08 | 25 | 88% | -1 min |
| 2025-09 | 26 | 92% | 0 min |
| 2025-10 | 30 | 87% | +4 min |
| 2025-11 | 27 | 78% | +8 min |
| 2025-12 | 26 | 65% | +28 min |
| 2026-01 | 25 | 84% | +1 min |
| 2026-02 | 22 | 82% | -1 min |
| 2026-03 | 19 | 89% | -7 min |
| 2026-04 | 22 | 86% | +3 min |
| 2026-05 | 23 | 91% | -7 min |
| 2026-06 | 24 | 92% | -4 min |
Performance by day of week
| Day | Flights | On-time |
|---|---|---|
| Mon | 48 | 79% |
| Tue | 52 | 81% |
| Wed | 50 | 92% |
| Thu | 49 | 88% |
| Fri | 49 | 86% |
| Sat | 40 | 80% |
| Sun | 8 | 75% |
Other routes
Related
Based on US Department of Transportation Bureau of Transportation Statistics on-time data. Loading live conditions and full charts…