Flight OddsAA4409 MDT → ORD
American Airlines · Harrisburg, PA to Chicago, IL · 11 flights observed, 2025-12-26 to 2026-01-05 · 594 mi
AA4409 covers more than one route in the data window — the stats below are for MDT → ORD, the one it has flown most recently. The others are linked under “Other routes”.
On-time arrival
75%
Median delay
+2 min
90th percentile
+83 min
Cancellation rate
18%
How often is AA4409 on time?
Across 11 flights on MDT → ORD from 2025-12-26 to 2026-01-05, AA4409 arrived within 15 minutes of schedule 75% of the time. The median arrival delay was +2 min, and the worst 10% of flights arrived +83 min or later. 18% of flights were cancelled.
Delay distribution
Arrival delay for completed flights (excludes cancellations and diversions).
| Arrival | Flights | Share |
|---|---|---|
| Early / on-time | 6 | 75% |
| 16-30 min | 0 | 0% |
| 31-60 min | 0 | 0% |
| 61-120 min | 2 | 25% |
| 2+ hrs | 0 | 0% |
Performance by month
| Month | Flights | On-time | Avg delay |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12 | 3 | 33% | +59 min |
| 2026-01 | 5 | 100% | -6 min |
Performance by day of week
| Day | Flights | On-time |
|---|---|---|
| Mon | 1 | 100% |
| Tue | No data | — |
| Wed | 1 | 0% |
| Thu | 1 | 100% |
| Fri | 1 | 100% |
| Sat | 2 | 100% |
| Sun | 2 | 50% |
Other routes
Related
Based on US Department of Transportation Bureau of Transportation Statistics on-time data. Loading live conditions and full charts…