Flight OddsAA438 ORD → MSP
American Airlines · Chicago, IL to Minneapolis, MN · 43 flights observed, 2026-04-07 to 2026-05-19 · 334 mi
AA438 covers more than one route in the data window — the stats below are for ORD → MSP, the one it has flown most recently. The others are linked under “Other routes”.
On-time arrival
51%
Median delay
+14 min
90th percentile
+158 min
Cancellation rate
2%
How often is AA438 on time?
Across 43 flights on ORD → MSP from 2026-04-07 to 2026-05-19, AA438 arrived within 15 minutes of schedule 51% of the time. The median arrival delay was +14 min, and the worst 10% of flights arrived +158 min or later. 2% of flights were cancelled.
Delay distribution
Arrival delay for completed flights (excludes cancellations and diversions).
| Arrival | Flights | Share |
|---|---|---|
| Early / on-time | 21 | 51% |
| 16-30 min | 5 | 12% |
| 31-60 min | 6 | 15% |
| 61-120 min | 4 | 10% |
| 2+ hrs | 5 | 12% |
Performance by month
| Month | Flights | On-time | Avg delay |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04 | 24 | 54% | +73 min |
| 2026-05 | 17 | 47% | +55 min |
Performance by day of week
| Day | Flights | On-time |
|---|---|---|
| Mon | 5 | 20% |
| Tue | 7 | 71% |
| Wed | 6 | 67% |
| Thu | 6 | 17% |
| Fri | 6 | 67% |
| Sat | 6 | 67% |
| Sun | 5 | 40% |
Other routes
Related
Based on US Department of Transportation Bureau of Transportation Statistics on-time data. Loading live conditions and full charts…