Flight OddsAA4151 MSP → ORD
American Airlines · Minneapolis, MN to Chicago, IL · 141 flights observed, 2025-07-01 to 2026-04-05 · 334 mi
AA4151 covers more than one route in the data window — the stats below are for MSP → ORD, the one it has flown most recently. The others are linked under “Other routes”.
On-time arrival
55%
Median delay
+12 min
90th percentile
+94 min
Cancellation rate
8%
How often is AA4151 on time?
Across 141 flights on MSP → ORD from 2025-07-01 to 2026-04-05, AA4151 arrived within 15 minutes of schedule 55% of the time. The median arrival delay was +12 min, and the worst 10% of flights arrived +94 min or later. 8% of flights were cancelled.
Delay distribution
Arrival delay for completed flights (excludes cancellations and diversions).
| Arrival | Flights | Share |
|---|---|---|
| Early / on-time | 71 | 55% |
| 16-30 min | 17 | 13% |
| 31-60 min | 13 | 10% |
| 61-120 min | 18 | 14% |
| 2+ hrs | 11 | 8% |
Performance by month
| Month | Flights | On-time | Avg delay |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-07 | 27 | 37% | +57 min |
| 2025-08 | 19 | 53% | +31 min |
| 2025-11 | 14 | 71% | +21 min |
| 2025-12 | 12 | 17% | +72 min |
| 2026-01 | 23 | 48% | +19 min |
| 2026-02 | 21 | 81% | +7 min |
| 2026-03 | 12 | 75% | +2 min |
| 2026-04 | 2 | 100% | -17 min |
Performance by day of week
| Day | Flights | On-time |
|---|---|---|
| Mon | 19 | 58% |
| Tue | 15 | 80% |
| Wed | 13 | 46% |
| Thu | 22 | 41% |
| Fri | 17 | 53% |
| Sat | 20 | 50% |
| Sun | 24 | 58% |
Other routes
Related
Based on US Department of Transportation Bureau of Transportation Statistics on-time data. Loading live conditions and full charts…