Flight OddsAA4038 MSN → ORD
American Airlines · Madison, WI to Chicago, IL · 28 flights observed, 2025-08-06 to 2025-09-02 · 108 mi
AA4038 covers more than one route in the data window — the stats below are for MSN → ORD, the one it has flown most recently. The others are linked under “Other routes”.
On-time arrival
41%
Median delay
+18 min
90th percentile
+61 min
Cancellation rate
4%
How often is AA4038 on time?
Across 28 flights on MSN → ORD from 2025-08-06 to 2025-09-02, AA4038 arrived within 15 minutes of schedule 41% of the time. The median arrival delay was +18 min, and the worst 10% of flights arrived +61 min or later. 4% of flights were cancelled.
Delay distribution
Arrival delay for completed flights (excludes cancellations and diversions).
| Arrival | Flights | Share |
|---|---|---|
| Early / on-time | 11 | 41% |
| 16-30 min | 7 | 26% |
| 31-60 min | 6 | 22% |
| 61-120 min | 2 | 7% |
| 2+ hrs | 1 | 4% |
Performance by month
| Month | Flights | On-time | Avg delay |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-08 | 25 | 40% | +30 min |
| 2025-09 | 2 | 50% | -3 min |
Performance by day of week
| Day | Flights | On-time |
|---|---|---|
| Mon | 3 | 33% |
| Tue | 4 | 75% |
| Wed | 4 | 75% |
| Thu | 4 | 25% |
| Fri | 4 | 25% |
| Sat | 4 | 50% |
| Sun | 4 | 0% |
Other routes
Related
Based on US Department of Transportation Bureau of Transportation Statistics on-time data. Loading live conditions and full charts…