Flight OddsAA4016 ORD → ORF
American Airlines · Chicago, IL to Norfolk, VA · 44 flights observed, 2026-04-07 to 2026-05-20 · 717 mi
AA4016 covers more than one route in the data window — the stats below are for ORD → ORF, the one it has flown most recently. The others are linked under “Other routes”.
On-time arrival
83%
Median delay
-16 min
90th percentile
+40 min
Cancellation rate
5%
How often is AA4016 on time?
Across 44 flights on ORD → ORF from 2026-04-07 to 2026-05-20, AA4016 arrived within 15 minutes of schedule 83% of the time. The median arrival delay was -16 min, and the worst 10% of flights arrived +40 min or later. 5% of flights were cancelled.
Delay distribution
Arrival delay for completed flights (excludes cancellations and diversions).
| Arrival | Flights | Share |
|---|---|---|
| Early / on-time | 34 | 83% |
| 16-30 min | 2 | 5% |
| 31-60 min | 1 | 2% |
| 61-120 min | 4 | 10% |
| 2+ hrs | 0 | 0% |
Performance by month
| Month | Flights | On-time | Avg delay |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04 | 21 | 81% | -4 min |
| 2026-05 | 20 | 85% | -5 min |
Performance by day of week
| Day | Flights | On-time |
|---|---|---|
| Mon | 4 | 50% |
| Tue | 7 | 71% |
| Wed | 7 | 86% |
| Thu | 6 | 83% |
| Fri | 5 | 100% |
| Sat | 6 | 83% |
| Sun | 6 | 100% |
Other routes
Related
Based on US Department of Transportation Bureau of Transportation Statistics on-time data. Loading live conditions and full charts…