Flight OddsAA4002 ORD → MSP
American Airlines · Chicago, IL to Minneapolis, MN · 54 flights observed, 2026-02-12 to 2026-04-06 · 334 mi
AA4002 covers more than one route in the data window — the stats below are for ORD → MSP, the one it has flown most recently. The others are linked under “Other routes”.
On-time arrival
69%
Median delay
+2 min
90th percentile
+67 min
Cancellation rate
9%
How often is AA4002 on time?
Across 54 flights on ORD → MSP from 2026-02-12 to 2026-04-06, AA4002 arrived within 15 minutes of schedule 69% of the time. The median arrival delay was +2 min, and the worst 10% of flights arrived +67 min or later. 9% of flights were cancelled.
Delay distribution
Arrival delay for completed flights (excludes cancellations and diversions).
| Arrival | Flights | Share |
|---|---|---|
| Early / on-time | 34 | 69% |
| 16-30 min | 5 | 10% |
| 31-60 min | 3 | 6% |
| 61-120 min | 7 | 14% |
| 2+ hrs | 0 | 0% |
Performance by month
| Month | Flights | On-time | Avg delay |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02 | 17 | 71% | +6 min |
| 2026-03 | 27 | 63% | +20 min |
| 2026-04 | 5 | 100% | -5 min |
Performance by day of week
| Day | Flights | On-time |
|---|---|---|
| Mon | 8 | 63% |
| Tue | 6 | 50% |
| Wed | 7 | 71% |
| Thu | 6 | 83% |
| Fri | 8 | 50% |
| Sat | 7 | 86% |
| Sun | 7 | 86% |
Other routes
Related
Based on US Department of Transportation Bureau of Transportation Statistics on-time data. Loading live conditions and full charts…