Flight OddsAA4000 ORD → MSP
American Airlines · Chicago, IL to Minneapolis, MN · 83 flights observed, 2025-07-06 to 2026-06-30 · 334 mi
AA4000 covers more than one route in the data window — the stats below are for ORD → MSP, the one it has flown most recently. The others are linked under “Other routes”.
On-time arrival
78%
Median delay
-7 min
90th percentile
+55 min
Cancellation rate
4%
How often is AA4000 on time?
Across 83 flights on ORD → MSP from 2025-07-06 to 2026-06-30, AA4000 arrived within 15 minutes of schedule 78% of the time. The median arrival delay was -7 min, and the worst 10% of flights arrived +55 min or later. 4% of flights were cancelled.
Delay distribution
Arrival delay for completed flights (excludes cancellations and diversions).
| Arrival | Flights | Share |
|---|---|---|
| Early / on-time | 62 | 78% |
| 16-30 min | 4 | 5% |
| 31-60 min | 6 | 8% |
| 61-120 min | 6 | 8% |
| 2+ hrs | 1 | 1% |
Performance by month
| Month | Flights | On-time | Avg delay |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-07 | 23 | 74% | +7 min |
| 2025-08 | 5 | 40% | +22 min |
| 2025-09 | 11 | 82% | +9 min |
| 2025-10 | 2 | 100% | -6 min |
| 2026-05 | 11 | 100% | -13 min |
| 2026-06 | 27 | 78% | +4 min |
Performance by day of week
| Day | Flights | On-time |
|---|---|---|
| Mon | 14 | 86% |
| Tue | 11 | 73% |
| Wed | 8 | 50% |
| Thu | 12 | 92% |
| Fri | 10 | 80% |
| Sat | 8 | 88% |
| Sun | 16 | 75% |
Other routes
Related
Based on US Department of Transportation Bureau of Transportation Statistics on-time data. Loading live conditions and full charts…