Flight OddsAA1861 ORD → SAN
American Airlines · Chicago, IL to San Diego, CA · 77 flights observed, 2025-07-01 to 2026-01-03 · 1,723 mi
AA1861 covers more than one route in the data window — the stats below are for ORD → SAN, the one it has flown most recently. The others are linked under “Other routes”.
On-time arrival
65%
Median delay
+1 min
90th percentile
+77 min
Cancellation rate
3%
How often is AA1861 on time?
Across 77 flights on ORD → SAN from 2025-07-01 to 2026-01-03, AA1861 arrived within 15 minutes of schedule 65% of the time. The median arrival delay was +1 min, and the worst 10% of flights arrived +77 min or later. 3% of flights were cancelled.
Delay distribution
Arrival delay for completed flights (excludes cancellations and diversions).
| Arrival | Flights | Share |
|---|---|---|
| Early / on-time | 48 | 65% |
| 16-30 min | 7 | 9% |
| 31-60 min | 8 | 11% |
| 61-120 min | 9 | 12% |
| 2+ hrs | 2 | 3% |
Performance by month
| Month | Flights | On-time | Avg delay |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-07 | 28 | 57% | +37 min |
| 2025-08 | 19 | 68% | +6 min |
| 2025-09 | 7 | 43% | +31 min |
| 2025-10 | 2 | 50% | +28 min |
| 2025-12 | 17 | 82% | +3 min |
| 2026-01 | 1 | 100% | +15 min |
Performance by day of week
| Day | Flights | On-time |
|---|---|---|
| Mon | 10 | 80% |
| Tue | 8 | 38% |
| Wed | 8 | 88% |
| Thu | 14 | 50% |
| Fri | 10 | 40% |
| Sat | 9 | 78% |
| Sun | 15 | 80% |
Other routes
Related
Based on US Department of Transportation Bureau of Transportation Statistics on-time data. Loading live conditions and full charts…