Flight OddsAA15 JFK → SFO
American Airlines · New York, NY to San Francisco, CA · 350 flights observed, 2025-07-01 to 2026-06-30 · 2,586 mi
On-time arrival
75%
Median delay
-7 min
90th percentile
+61 min
Cancellation rate
3%
How often is AA15 on time?
Across 350 flights on JFK → SFO from 2025-07-01 to 2026-06-30, AA15 arrived within 15 minutes of schedule 75% of the time. The median arrival delay was -7 min, and the worst 10% of flights arrived +61 min or later. 3% of flights were cancelled.
Delay distribution
Arrival delay for completed flights (excludes cancellations and diversions).
| Arrival | Flights | Share |
|---|---|---|
| Early / on-time | 252 | 75% |
| 16-30 min | 19 | 6% |
| 31-60 min | 33 | 10% |
| 61-120 min | 16 | 5% |
| 2+ hrs | 18 | 5% |
Performance by month
| Month | Flights | On-time | Avg delay |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-07 | 26 | 69% | +10 min |
| 2025-08 | 31 | 74% | +3 min |
| 2025-09 | 30 | 83% | -8 min |
| 2025-10 | 30 | 70% | +23 min |
| 2025-11 | 28 | 79% | +11 min |
| 2025-12 | 23 | 74% | +4 min |
| 2026-01 | 24 | 79% | -3 min |
| 2026-02 | 25 | 84% | -1 min |
| 2026-03 | 31 | 84% | -8 min |
| 2026-04 | 30 | 80% | +1 min |
| 2026-05 | 30 | 67% | +35 min |
| 2026-06 | 30 | 53% | +21 min |
Performance by day of week
| Day | Flights | On-time |
|---|---|---|
| Mon | 47 | 83% |
| Tue | 49 | 88% |
| Wed | 49 | 69% |
| Thu | 47 | 70% |
| Fri | 50 | 70% |
| Sat | 48 | 79% |
| Sun | 48 | 63% |
Related
Based on US Department of Transportation Bureau of Transportation Statistics on-time data. Loading live conditions and full charts…